Paksi SE 1-3 Ujpest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 23 Nov 2025

Paksi SE
1-3 HT 0-1
Ujpest
📅23/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Hungary - NB I – 2025/2026

Paksi SE vs Ujpest Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.61
Over
59%
1.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
62%
1.4
No
38%
2.73
Total Goals
0-1
21%
5.82
2-3
37%
2.05
4-5
29%
2.49
6+
13%
5.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Paksi SE v Ujpest — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paksi SE The Market 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Ujpest The Market 30%
+10% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +8%
1.99/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.54
+46% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
282 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 76%
34.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
33.7 Crosses 18.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3

Paksi SE vs Ujpest Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paksi SE
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Ujpest
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.87 xG 1.51
49% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
271 Passes 325
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
31 Box Touches 22
32 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.08.2025 Ujpest Ujpest 1-2 HT 1-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
14.03.2025 Paksi SE Paksi SE 6-1 HT 1-1 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
09.11.2024 Ujpest Ujpest 0-0 HT 0-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
04.08.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 2-1 HT 1-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
31.03.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 1-2 HT 1-1 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
29.02.2024 Ujpest Ujpest 1-2 HT 0-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MACK

Paksi SE 1-3 Ujpest — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paksi SE
1-3
AWAY Ujpest
1.45 xG 4.09
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 2
272 Passes 239
68% Pass Accuracy 67%
30 Box Touches 23
33 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Paksi SE vs Ujpest
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Ujpest had too much for Paksi SE 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

A gentle 47% lean on Paksi SE didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. Small consolation: at 1.86 (roughly 54%) the price was further off than we were. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Paksi SE had 54% of the ball to Ujpest's 46%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 1.45 to 4.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paksi SE had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Paksi SE and 1.00 for Ujpest.

Paksi SE vs Ujpest Result & Final Score

Paksi SE 1-3 Ujpest in the Hungary - NB I on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Paksi SE vs Ujpest Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Paksi SE win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Paksi SE 47%, draw 24%, Ujpest 29%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Paksi SE) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paksi SE) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MAC More Hungary - NB I
23 Nov 2025
20:30 Diosgyor vs MTK Budapest Analysis →