Rostov vs Lokomotiv Moscow Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rostov v Lokomotiv Moscow — Team-Based Signals
Rostov vs Lokomotiv Moscow Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Rostov and Lokomotiv Moscow couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Lokomotiv Moscow at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. Small consolation: at 1.96 (roughly 51%) the price was further off than we were.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 46% for over 2.5, 50% on both teams scoring. The market went further still — the over-2.5 price closed at 1.52, about 66%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Moscow led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Rostov and 2.00 for Lokomotiv Moscow.
Rostov vs Lokomotiv Moscow Result & Final Score
Rostov 1-1 Lokomotiv Moscow in the Friendlies on 24/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Rostov vs Lokomotiv Moscow Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Lokomotiv Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Rostov 29%, draw 26%, Lokomotiv Moscow 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow) went the other way.