Rostov vs Lokomotiv Moscow Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rostov v Lokomotiv Moscow — Team-Based Signals
Rostov vs Lokomotiv Moscow Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Rostov 1-3 Lokomotiv Moscow — Actual Match Statistics
Lokomotiv Moscow took care of Rostov 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.
Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Lokomotiv Moscow found the edge the numbers couldn't. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (56%) never looked like landing.
Under the surface, Rostov had 50% of the ball to Lokomotiv Moscow's 50%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 1.31 to 2.71.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Moscow led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Rostov and 1.67 for Lokomotiv Moscow.
Rostov vs Lokomotiv Moscow Result & Final Score
Rostov 1-3 Lokomotiv Moscow in the Russia - Premier League on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Rostov vs Lokomotiv Moscow Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Rostov win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Rostov 35%, draw 30%, Lokomotiv Moscow 35%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.