Zenit St. Petersburg 1-0 Rubin Kazan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
68%
1.3
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
12%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.86
Over
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.45
No
56%
1.48
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.18
2-3
43%
1.78
4-5
21%
3.57
6+
10%
14.35
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.18 — our 26% vs market 25.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.54
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
4%
23.1
X/1
25%
3.59
X/2
5%
20.4
X/X
11%
6.26
2/1
13%
28.5
2/2
4%
20.25
2/X
5%
28.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Zenit St. Petersburg win — 68%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
68%
Home Win
72%
-4.4pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.5pp
12%
Away Win
9%
+2.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
37%
+7.4pp
56%
BTTS No
63%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg The Market 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Rubin Kazan The Market 12%
-2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -4%
2.31/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.63
+22% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +9%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
426 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 72%
37.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
23.2 Crosses 12.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Rubin Kazan
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.33 xG 0.56
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
474 Passes 200
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
32 Box Touches 11
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2025 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 0-1 HT 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUK
12.08.2025 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 3-0 HT 0-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUK
27.07.2025 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 2-2 HT 0-2 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
30.03.2025 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 4-0 HT 0-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
17.09.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-0 HT 1-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUK
14.08.2024 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 0-1 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
1-0
AWAY Rubin Kazan
0.44 xG 0.97
68% Ball Possession 32%
8 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
487 Passes 204
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 8
16 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 6
REVIEW Zenit St. Petersburg vs Rubin Kazan
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Zenit St. Petersburg came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Rubin Kazan 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, Zenit St. Petersburg had 68% of the ball to Rubin Kazan's 32%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 0.44 to 0.97 — by the quality of chances, Rubin Kazan deserved more.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Zenit St. Petersburg and 0.33 for Rubin Kazan.

Zenit St. Petersburg vs Rubin Kazan Result & Final Score

Zenit St. Petersburg 1-0 Rubin Kazan in the Russia - Premier League on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Zenit St. Petersburg vs Rubin Kazan Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Zenit St. Petersburg 68%, draw 20%, Rubin Kazan 12%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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