Krasnodar 5-0 Krylya Sovetov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
72%
1.3
Draw
17%
4.81
Away
11%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.29
Over
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
22%
4.55
2-3
38%
1.91
4-5
27%
2.82
6+
13%
7.82
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.55 — our 22% vs market 16.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.53
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
4%
20.9
X/1
24%
3.83
X/2
4%
18.5
X/X
8%
7.83
2/1
12%
21.8
2/2
4%
15.9
2/X
6%
24.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Krasnodar win — 72%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
72%
Home Win
72%
-0.4pp
17%
Draw
17%
-0.2pp
11%
Away Win
11%
+0.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.8pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krasnodar The Market 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Krylya Sovetov The Market 14%
-2% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.98/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.89
-1% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +1%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
416 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 72%
30.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
19.3 Crosses 11.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krasnodar
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.93 xG 0.85
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
416 Passes 266
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.09.2025 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 1-2 HT 0-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUK
24.08.2025 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-6 HT 0-3 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
29.07.2025 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-2 HT 1-2 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUK
01.03.2025 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-1 HT 0-1 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
28.10.2024 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 1-2 HT 0-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
29.04.2024 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-0 HT 0-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krasnodar
5-0
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
3.97 xG 0.20
69% Ball Possession 31%
27 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 0
552 Passes 204
90% Pass Accuracy 73%
55 Box Touches 6
26 Crosses 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Krasnodar vs Krylya Sovetov
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Krasnodar swept aside Krylya Sovetov 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Krasnodar as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (58%) came home.

Under the surface, Krasnodar had 69% of the ball to Krylya Sovetov's 31%, shots finished 27-5, expected goals 3.97 to 0.20.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Krasnodar had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Krasnodar and 0.83 for Krylya Sovetov.

Krasnodar vs Krylya Sovetov Result & Final Score

Krasnodar 5-0 Krylya Sovetov in the Russia - Premier League on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Krasnodar vs Krylya Sovetov Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Krasnodar 72%, draw 17%, Krylya Sovetov 11%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Krasnodar), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Krasnodar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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