FC Akhmat Grozny 2-1 Dinamo Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.97
Over
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
31%
3.6
2-3
37%
1.81
4-5
22%
3.25
6+
10%
11.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.03
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X
5%
13.1
X/1
12%
6.13
X/2
17%
5.58
X/X
16%
4.98
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
17%
3.47
2/X
5%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+1.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.7pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny The Market 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Moscow The Market 43%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +2%
1.27/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.30
-16% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
270 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
18.6 Crosses 16.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.53 xG 2.21
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
242 Passes 378
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
19.10.2025 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 2-2 HT 1-1 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
08.07.2025 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny HAZ
02.12.2024 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-1 HT 1-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
15.09.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 4-2 HT 1-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
09.03.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
01.10.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-1 HT 1-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny
2-1
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
3.15 xG 2.01
43% Ball Possession 57%
17 Total Shots 23
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 8
228 Passes 354
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
35 Box Touches 36
22 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW FC Akhmat Grozny vs Dinamo Moscow
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

FC Akhmat Grozny squeezed past Dinamo Moscow 2-1. From 0-1 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day FC Akhmat Grozny made the difference.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 50% for over 2.5, 51% on both teams scoring. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-yes price stood at 1.61, roughly 62%.

On the day, Dinamo Moscow saw more of the ball, 57% to 43%, shots finished 17-23, expected goals 3.15 to 2.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Moscow led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for FC Akhmat Grozny against 1.83 for Dinamo Moscow.

FC Akhmat Grozny vs Dinamo Moscow Result & Final Score

FC Akhmat Grozny 2-1 Dinamo Moscow in the Russia - Premier League on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

FC Akhmat Grozny vs Dinamo Moscow Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FC Akhmat Grozny 35%, draw 25%, Dinamo Moscow 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dinamo Moscow) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Moscow) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS More Russia - Premier League
30 Nov 2025
14:00 Krasnodar vs Krylya Sovetov Analysis →
16:30 Rostov vs Lokomotiv Moscow Analysis →
19:00 Zenit St. Petersburg vs Rubin Kazan Analysis →