Burnley 1-1 Wolverhampton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 24 May 2026

📅24/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.66
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.1
6+ Goals
11%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.3
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
9%
12.15
X/1 EV+ ✗
19%
5.49
X/2
14%
6.3
X/X
10%
4.82
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
14%
4.1
2/X
5%
12.4
Value flag · X/1 at 5.49 — our 19% vs market 14.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.8pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.1pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burnley EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolverhampton EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +10%
1.40/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.34
-2% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 80%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
21.1 Crosses 15.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burnley
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Wolverhampton
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.90 xG 1.30
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
318 Passes 430
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.10.2025 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 2-3 HT 2-2 Burnley Burnley İNP
28.08.2024 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 2-0 HT 1-0 Burnley Burnley İNLK
02.04.2024 Burnley Burnley 1-1 HT 1-1 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
05.12.2023 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-0 HT 1-0 Burnley Burnley İNP
24.04.2022 Burnley Burnley 1-0 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
01.12.2021 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 0-0 HT 0-0 Burnley Burnley İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burnley
1-1
AWAY Wolverhampton
70% Ball Possession 30%
16 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 7
498 Passes 163
88% Pass Accuracy 72%
POST-MATCH Burnley vs Wolverhampton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burnley and Wolverhampton shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Burnley at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Burnley had 70% of the ball to Wolverhampton's 30%, shots finished 16-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Burnley and 1.00 for Wolverhampton.

What was the final score of Burnley vs Wolverhampton?

Burnley 1-1 Wolverhampton in the England - Premier League on 24/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burnley vs Wolverhampton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burnley win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Burnley 42%, draw 24%, Wolverhampton 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Burnley), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Burnley) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNP More England - Premier League
24 May 2026
18:00 Manchester City vs Aston Villa Analysis →
18:00 Liverpool vs Brentford Analysis →
18:00 Fulham vs Newcastle United Analysis →
18:00 Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth Analysis →
18:00 Tottenham vs Everton Analysis →
18:00 Brighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester United Analysis →