Nottingham Forest 1-1 Bournemouth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 24 May 2026

📅24/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
51%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.28
2-3 Goals
35%
1.85
4-5 Goals
27%
2.82
6+ Goals
11%
8.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.3
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
21.4
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
6%
7.81
X/2
17%
4.86
X/X
8%
5.45
2/1
5%
32.0
2/2
24%
2.55
2/X
7%
12.45
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.4 — our 11% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
+0.3pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.2pp
51%
Away Win
48%
+2.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.1pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nottingham Forest EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Bournemouth EU Bookmakers 52%
-2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.14/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.17/1.19
-12% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +47%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
288 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 79%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.5
21.0 Crosses 20.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nottingham Forest
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Bournemouth
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.02 xG 1.30
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
309 Passes 318
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2025 Bournemouth Bournemouth 2-0 HT 2-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
25.01.2025 Bournemouth Bournemouth 5-0 HT 1-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
17.08.2024 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-1 HT 1-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
04.02.2024 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1-1 HT 1-1 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
23.12.2023 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 2-3 HT 0-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
21.01.2023 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1-1 HT 1-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nottingham Forest
1-1
AWAY Bournemouth
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
307 Passes 409
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
POST-MATCH Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nottingham Forest and Bournemouth couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Bournemouth at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Nottingham Forest had 45% of the ball to Bournemouth's 55%, shots finished 15-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bournemouth led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Nottingham Forest and 2.17 for Bournemouth.

What was the final score of Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth?

Nottingham Forest 1-1 Bournemouth in the England - Premier League on 24/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bournemouth win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Nottingham Forest 27%, draw 22%, Bournemouth 51%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bournemouth), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bournemouth) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNP More England - Premier League
24 May 2026
18:00 Manchester City vs Aston Villa Analysis →
18:00 Liverpool vs Brentford Analysis →
18:00 Fulham vs Newcastle United Analysis →
18:00 Tottenham vs Everton Analysis →
18:00 Brighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester United Analysis →
18:00 Burnley vs Wolverhampton Analysis →