Liverpool 1-1 Brentford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 24 May 2026

📅24/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.75
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.48
2-3 Goals
42%
1.99
4-5 Goals
26%
2.53
6+ Goals
13%
5.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.22
1/2
7%
33.0
1/X
6%
12.75
X/1
17%
4.75
X/2
7%
8.98
X/X
7%
6.3
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
19.2
2/2
10%
5.91
2/X
7%
13.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.2 — our 9% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
53%
+3.4pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.7pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.7pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Brentford EU Bookmakers 28%
+8% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
1.75/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.20
+15% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
391 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
34.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
19.0 Crosses 17.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Brentford
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.52 xG 1.26
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
449 Passes 252
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
39 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2025 Brentford Brentford 3-2 HT 2-1 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
18.01.2025 Brentford Brentford 0-2 HT 0-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
25.08.2024 Liverpool Liverpool 2-0 HT 1-0 Brentford Brentford İNP
17.02.2024 Brentford Brentford 1-4 HT 0-1 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
12.11.2023 Liverpool Liverpool 3-0 HT 1-0 Brentford Brentford İNP
06.05.2023 Liverpool Liverpool 1-0 HT 1-0 Brentford Brentford İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool
1-1
AWAY Brentford
60% Ball Possession 40%
24 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 2
14 Corners 2
438 Passes 262
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
POST-MATCH Liverpool vs Brentford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool and Brentford couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Liverpool at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Liverpool had 60% of the ball to Brentford's 40%, shots finished 24-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Liverpool and 0.67 for Brentford.

What was the final score of Liverpool vs Brentford?

Liverpool 1-1 Brentford in the England - Premier League on 24/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool vs Brentford?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Liverpool 56%, draw 20%, Brentford 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Liverpool), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
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