Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Tolima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Atletico Nacional v Deportes Tolima — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Tolima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Atletico Nacional 3-1 Deportes Tolima — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Nacional got the better of Deportes Tolima 3-1. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Nacional as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 49% for over 2.5, 51% on both teams scoring.
Under the surface, Atletico Nacional had 42% of the ball to Deportes Tolima's 58%, shots finished 23-14, expected goals 1.44 to 0.67.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atletico Nacional and 0.83 for Deportes Tolima.
Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Tolima Result & Final Score
Atletico Nacional 3 - 1 Deportes Tolima in the Colombia - Primera on 24/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Tolima Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Atletico Nacional 54%, draw 26%, Deportes Tolima 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Nacional), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.