Deportivo Recoleta 2-1 Club Guarani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 24 May 2026

📅24/05/2026 · 🕒00:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
45%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.8
Over 2.5
55%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.81
No
43%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
22%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+3.8pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.9pp
45%
Away Win
46%
-0.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.3pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Recoleta EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Guarani EU Bookmakers 50%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +11%
1.37/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/0.99
+34% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +10%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
300 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
Crosses 9.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Recoleta
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Club Guarani
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.03.2026 Club Guarani Club Guarani 3-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta PAR
19.10.2025 Club Guarani Club Guarani 2-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta PAR
05.08.2025 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta 2-3 HT 1-2 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
03.05.2025 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta 0-3 HT 0-1 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
22.02.2025 Club Guarani Club Guarani 1-3 HT 1-1 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta PAR
15.10.2023 Club Guarani Club Guarani 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta PARK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Recoleta
2-1
AWAY Club Guarani
41% Ball Possession 59%
18 Total Shots 14
11 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Recoleta vs Club Guarani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Recoleta nicked a narrow win over Club Guarani 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Club Guarani at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo Recoleta had 41% of the ball to Club Guarani's 59%, shots finished 18-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Guarani led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Deportivo Recoleta and 2.33 for Club Guarani.

What was the final score of Deportivo Recoleta vs Club Guarani?

Deportivo Recoleta 2-1 Club Guarani in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 24/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Recoleta vs Club Guarani?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club Guarani win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Recoleta 31%, draw 24%, Club Guarani 45%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Club Guarani) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club Guarani) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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