Nacional Asuncion 2-1 Libertad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 24 May 2026

📅24/05/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.9pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.1pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional Asuncion EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Libertad EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.23/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.55
-5% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional Asuncion
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Libertad
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.03.2026 Libertad Libertad 2-1 HT 1-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
28.09.2025 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 3-1 HT 2-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
19.07.2025 Libertad Libertad 0-1 HT 0-1 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
12.04.2025 Libertad Libertad 1-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
30.01.2025 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 0-3 HT 0-3 Libertad Libertad PAR
30.09.2024 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 2-1 HT 0-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional Asuncion
2-1
AWAY Libertad
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Nacional Asuncion vs Libertad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional Asuncion edged past Libertad 2-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Nacional Asuncion found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Nacional Asuncion had 45% of the ball to Libertad's 55%, shots finished 10-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Nacional Asuncion and 1.33 for Libertad.

What was the final score of Nacional Asuncion vs Libertad?

Nacional Asuncion 2-1 Libertad in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 24/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional Asuncion vs Libertad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional Asuncion win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Nacional Asuncion 37%, draw 27%, Libertad 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional Asuncion), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nacional Asuncion) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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