St Patricks vs Dundalk Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St Patricks v Dundalk — Team-Based Signals
St Patricks vs Dundalk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
St Patricks 1-1 Dundalk — Actual Match Statistics
St Patricks and Dundalk couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had St Patricks at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 1.98 to 1.43.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St Patricks had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for St Patricks and 1.00 for Dundalk.
What was the final score of St Patricks vs Dundalk?
St Patricks 1-1 Dundalk in the Ireland - Premier League on 24/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St Patricks vs Dundalk?
Before kick-off our model rated a St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split St Patricks 59%, draw 21%, Dundalk 20%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.