Etoile Carouge vs Aarau Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Etoile Carouge v Aarau — Team-Based Signals
Etoile Carouge vs Aarau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Etoile Carouge 3-0 Aarau — Actual Match Statistics
Etoile Carouge swept aside Aarau 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Aarau at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.
On the day, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.03 to 0.64.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aarau led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Etoile Carouge and 2.33 for Aarau.
What was the final score of Etoile Carouge vs Aarau?
Etoile Carouge 3-0 Aarau in the Switzerland Challenge League on 24/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Etoile Carouge vs Aarau?
Before kick-off our model rated an Aarau win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Etoile Carouge 32%, draw 25%, Aarau 43%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Aarau), BTTS Yes went the other way.