Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Varşova Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pogon Szczecin v Legia Varşova — Team-Based Signals
Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Varşova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Pogon Szczecin 0-1 Legia Varşova — Actual Match Statistics
Legia Varşova nicked a narrow win over Pogon Szczecin 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Pogon Szczecin at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, shots finished 10-24, expected goals 1.08 to 3.01 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Legia Varşova's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Legia Varşova led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pogon Szczecin and 1.33 for Legia Varşova.
What was the final score of Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Varşova?
Pogon Szczecin 0-1 Legia Varşova in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 24/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Varşova?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pogon Szczecin win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Pogon Szczecin 41%, draw 25%, Legia Varşova 35%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.