Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1 Manchester United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 24 Aug 2024

Brighton & Hove Albion
2-1 HT 1-0
Manchester United
📅24/08/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.33
Over 2.5
54%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.95
2-3 Goals
39%
1.95
4-5 Goals
27%
2.78
6+ Goals
11%
7.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.19
1/2
9%
26.0
1/X
7%
12.4
X/1
18%
5.55
X/2
10%
6.26
X/X
9%
5.53
2/1
7%
23.6
2/2
16%
3.77
2/X
7%
12.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.0pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
39%
+6.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
61%
-6.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.5pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brighton & Hove Albion v Manchester United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester United EU Bookmakers 38%
-4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
1.65/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.74
-20% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
18.8 Crosses 14.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Manchester United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.84 xG 1.14
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
441 Passes 384
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
32 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.05.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 0-2 HT 0-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
16.09.2023 Manchester United Manchester United 1-3 HT 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
04.05.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 1-0 HT 0-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
23.04.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 0-0 HT 0-0 Manchester United Manchester United FAK
07.08.2022 Manchester United Manchester United 1-2 HT 0-2 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
07.05.2022 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 4-0 HT 1-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP

Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1 Manchester United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion
2-1
AWAY Manchester United
2.09 xG 1.43
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
407 Passes 446
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
33 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brighton & Hove Albion nicked a narrow win over Manchester United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Brighton & Hove Albion as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Brighton & Hove Albion had 48% of the ball to Manchester United's 52%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 2.09 to 1.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brighton & Hove Albion had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Brighton & Hove Albion and 0.67 for Manchester United.

What was the final score of Brighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester United?

Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1 Manchester United in the England - Premier League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brighton & Hove Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Brighton & Hove Albion 42%, draw 23%, Manchester United 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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