Casertana 2-0 Taranto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
27%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.27
No
50%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.52
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.71
6+ Goals
9%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
59%
-13.6pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
27%
Away Win
16%
+10.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
40%
+10.3pp
50%
BTTS No
60%
-10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Casertana EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Taranto EU Bookmakers 20%
-9% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -5%
1.61/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.32
-6% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
361 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Casertana
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Taranto
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Casertana Casertana 1-0 HT 1-0 Taranto Taranto İTC
27.11.2023 Taranto Taranto 0-1 HT 0-1 Casertana Casertana İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Casertana
2-0
AWAY Taranto
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Casertana vs Taranto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Casertana got the better of Taranto 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Casertana as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Casertana had 62% of the ball to Taranto's 38%, shots finished 12-4.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Casertana had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Casertana and 0.00 for Taranto.

What was the final score of Casertana vs Taranto?

Casertana 2-0 Taranto in the Italy - Serie C on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Casertana vs Taranto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Casertana win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Casertana 46%, draw 27%, Taranto 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Casertana), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Casertana) ✓ Under 2.5
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