Picerno 2-2 Benevento — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 24 Sep 2025

📅24/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.48
Draw
17%
3.64
Away Pick
59%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.8
Over
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.97
2-3
40%
1.73
4-5
21%
3.54
6+
11%
14.7
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.97 — our 28% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
33%
2/X
6%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Picerno The Market 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Benevento The Market 61%
+17% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.08/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.60
+12% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +42%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
247 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Picerno
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Benevento
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.03.2025 Benevento Benevento 0-0 HT 0-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
09.11.2024 Picerno Picerno 1-0 HT 0-0 Benevento Benevento İTC
18.02.2024 Picerno Picerno 1-2 HT 1-0 Benevento Benevento İTC
15.10.2023 Benevento Benevento 2-2 HT 0-1 Picerno Picerno İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Picerno
2-2
AWAY Benevento
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Picerno vs Benevento
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Picerno and Benevento finished all square at 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

File this under upsets: a 59% lean on Benevento went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 49% for over 2.5, 48% on both teams scoring.

The match data tells the story: Benevento saw more of the ball, 58% to 42%, shots finished 15-17.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Picerno against 1.00 for Benevento.

Picerno vs Benevento Result & Final Score

Picerno 2-2 Benevento in the Italy - Serie C on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Picerno vs Benevento Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Benevento win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Picerno 24%, draw 17%, Benevento 59%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Benevento) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
24 Sep 2025
19:30 Siracusa vs Rossoblu Potenza Analysis →
19:30 Foggia Calcio vs Casertana Analysis →
19:30 Cavese vs US Latina Analysis →
19:30 Salernitana vs Audace Cerignola Analysis →
19:30 Cosenza Calcio vs SSC Giugliano Analysis →
19:30 Sorrento Calcio vs Casarano Analysis →