Uniao Santarem 0-1 Caldas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 24 Sep 2025

📅24/09/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
31%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.67
Over 2.5
37%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.6pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.7pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-4.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+7.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-7.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.1pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uniao Santarem EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Caldas EU Bookmakers 39%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
0.85/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.30
-35% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uniao Santarem
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Caldas
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.04.2025 Caldas Caldas 0-1 HT 0-0 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem POR3
16.03.2025 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem 0-0 HT 0-0 Caldas Caldas POR3
15.12.2024 Caldas Caldas 0-3 HT 0-1 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem POR3
01.09.2024 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem 0-1 HT 0-1 Caldas Caldas POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uniao Santarem
0-1
AWAY Caldas
65% Ball Possession 35%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Uniao Santarem vs Caldas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caldas nicked a narrow win over Uniao Santarem 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 32% / 31% — and on the day Caldas made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Uniao Santarem had 65% of the ball to Caldas's 35%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Uniao Santarem had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Uniao Santarem and 0.25 for Caldas.

What was the final score of Uniao Santarem vs Caldas?

Uniao Santarem 0-1 Caldas in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uniao Santarem vs Caldas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uniao Santarem win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Uniao Santarem 36%, draw 32%, Caldas 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Uniao Santarem) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Uniao Santarem) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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