Sporting Braga II 2-2 Sanjoanense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 24 Sep 2025

📅24/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+2.7pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.1pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Braga II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
1.18/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.00
-7% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +31%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Braga II
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Sanjoanense
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2025 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 0-1 HT 0-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
09.03.2025 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 1-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
26.01.2025 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 2-2 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
27.10.2024 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 2-2 HT 2-1 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
07.01.2024 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 2-4 HT 2-1 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
15.09.2023 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 4-1 HT 1-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Braga II
2-2
AWAY Sanjoanense
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sporting Braga II vs Sanjoanense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga II and Sanjoanense couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Braga II at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sporting Braga II had 57% of the ball to Sanjoanense's 43%, shots finished 13-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga II had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Sporting Braga II and 1.50 for Sanjoanense.

What was the final score of Sporting Braga II vs Sanjoanense?

Sporting Braga II 2-2 Sanjoanense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Braga II vs Sanjoanense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Braga II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga II 43%, draw 24%, Sanjoanense 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Braga II) ✗ Under 2.5
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