HNK Gorica vs Hajduk Split Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
HNK Gorica v Hajduk Split — Team-Based Signals
HNK Gorica vs Hajduk Split Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
HNK Gorica 1-3 Hajduk Split — Actual Match Statistics
Hajduk Split saw off HNK Gorica 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hajduk Split as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, HNK Gorica had 53% of the ball to Hajduk Split's 47%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.54 to 2.26.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hajduk Split led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for HNK Gorica and 1.83 for Hajduk Split.
What was the final score of HNK Gorica vs Hajduk Split?
HNK Gorica 1-3 Hajduk Split in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 24/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for HNK Gorica vs Hajduk Split?
Before kick-off our model rated an Hajduk Split win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split HNK Gorica 22%, draw 24%, Hajduk Split 53%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hajduk Split), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.