Hajduk Split 2-0 HNK Gorica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.47
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
12%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.74
Over 2.5
51%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.19
No
48%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.75
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
24%
3.82
6+ Goals
10%
17.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
13%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
64%
+2.3pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.4pp
12%
Away Win
14%
-1.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
54%
-5.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
46%
+5.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
42%
+10.3pp
48%
BTTS No
58%
-10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hajduk Split EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY HNK Gorica EU Bookmakers 17%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.38/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.62
-10% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +16%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
20.0 Crosses 13.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hajduk Split
4W-1D-1L
AWAY HNK Gorica
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.73 xG 0.79
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
387 Passes 315
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2025 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 1-1 HT 0-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
09.03.2025 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 2-1 HT 1-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
07.12.2024 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 1-0 HT 0-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
21.09.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 4-1 HT 1-1 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
19.05.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 2-1 HT 1-1 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
09.03.2024 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 0-3 HT 0-3 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hajduk Split
2-0
AWAY HNK Gorica
2.89 xG 0.80
66% Ball Possession 34%
23 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
469 Passes 225
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
37 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hajduk Split beat HNK Gorica 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hajduk Split as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Hajduk Split had 66% of the ball to HNK Gorica's 34%, shots finished 23-6, expected goals 2.89 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hajduk Split had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hajduk Split and 0.83 for HNK Gorica.

What was the final score of Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica?

Hajduk Split 2-0 HNK Gorica in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hajduk Split win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Hajduk Split 66%, draw 22%, HNK Gorica 12%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hajduk Split) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hajduk Split) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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