Slaven Belupo 3-1 NK Varazdin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 10 Aug 2025

📅10/08/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.68
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
3.92
6+ Goals
9%
18.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+2.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slaven Belupo EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY NK Varazdin EU Bookmakers 36%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +13%
1.24/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/0.97
+1% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +57%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
21.5 Crosses 16.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slaven Belupo
2W-1D-3L
AWAY NK Varazdin
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.21 xG 1.12
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
278 Passes 309
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.04.2025 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-1 HT 0-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
16.02.2025 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 0-1 HT 0-1 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
10.11.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 1-1 HT 0-1 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
24.08.2024 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 2-0 HT 0-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
06.04.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-1 HT 0-0 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HIR
26.01.2024 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 1-2 HT 1-1 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slaven Belupo
3-1
AWAY NK Varazdin
1.88 xG 0.35
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
406 Passes 205
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
31 Box Touches 9
21 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Slaven Belupo vs NK Varazdin
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Slaven Belupo beat NK Varazdin 3-1 in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 10 Aug 2025. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 45% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Slaven Belupo had 64% of the ball to NK Varazdin's 36%, shots finished 17-4, expected goals 1.88 to 0.35.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, NK Varazdin lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Slaven Belupo and 1.00 for NK Varazdin.

What was the final score of Slaven Belupo vs NK Varazdin?

Slaven Belupo 3-1 NK Varazdin in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 10/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slaven Belupo vs NK Varazdin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slaven Belupo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Slaven Belupo 42%, draw 26%, NK Varazdin 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slaven Belupo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slaven Belupo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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