Bristol City 2-1 Blackburn Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.6
Over
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.46
2-3
41%
1.74
4-5
19%
4.5
6+
9%
24.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.46
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.6
X/1
14%
4.14
X/2
9%
8.57
X/X
13%
4.11
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
12%
7.47
2/X
9%
16.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
45%
Home Win
51%
-5.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.8pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bristol City The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackburn Rovers The Market 25%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.49/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.47
-5% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
379 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
22.8 Crosses 13.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bristol City
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.49 xG 1.18
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
337 Passes 380
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 3-0 HT 1-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
10.04.2024 Bristol City Bristol City 5-0 HT 2-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
12.12.2023 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
21.01.2023 Bristol City Bristol City 1-1 HT 0-0 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers İNCL
03.09.2022 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 2-3 HT 0-1 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
12.03.2022 Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers 0-1 HT 0-0 Bristol City Bristol City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bristol City
2-1
AWAY Blackburn Rovers
1.93 xG 1.89
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 7
317 Passes 278
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 24
9 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bristol City vs Blackburn Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bristol City edged past Blackburn Rovers 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bristol City as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bristol City had 52% of the ball to Blackburn Rovers's 48%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.93 to 1.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bristol City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Bristol City and 1.33 for Blackburn Rovers.

What was the final score of Bristol City vs Blackburn Rovers?

Bristol City 2-1 Blackburn Rovers in the England - Championship on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bristol City vs Blackburn Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bristol City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bristol City 45%, draw 27%, Blackburn Rovers 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bristol City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bristol City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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