İran 2-2 Özbekistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 25 Mar 2025

📅25/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
20%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.22
2-3 Goals
34%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.88
6+ Goals
7%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
48%
+4.6pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.0pp
20%
Away Win
22%
-1.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.2pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İran EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Özbekistan EU Bookmakers 25%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.36/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/2.17
+23% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -77% / -44%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 77%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37.0
28.0 Crosses 21.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İran
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Özbekistan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.72 xG 0.37
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
328 Passes 262
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.10.2024 Özbekistan Özbekistan 0-0 HT 0-0 İran İran DKE
11.06.2024 İran İran 0-0 HT 0-0 Özbekistan Özbekistan DKE
21.11.2023 Özbekistan Özbekistan 2-2 HT 0-2 İran İran DKE
11.09.2018 Özbekistan Özbekistan 0-1 HT 0-0 İran İran HAZ
12.06.2017 İran İran 2-0 HT 1-0 Özbekistan Özbekistan DKE
06.10.2016 Özbekistan Özbekistan 0-1 HT 0-1 İran İran DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İran
2-2
AWAY Özbekistan
2.64 xG 0.96
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
370 Passes 214
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 17
POST-MATCH İran vs Özbekistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İran and Özbekistan couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was İran at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, İran had 61% of the ball to Özbekistan's 39%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 2.64 to 0.96.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, İran had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for İran and 0.33 for Özbekistan.

What was the final score of İran vs Özbekistan?

İran 2-2 Özbekistan in the World Cup Qualifiers on 25/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İran vs Özbekistan?

Before kick-off our model rated a İran win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split İran 53%, draw 27%, Özbekistan 20%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (İran) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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