Bolivya 0-0 Uruguay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 25 Mar 2025

📅25/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.53
Draw
23%
2.94
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.29
2-3 Goals
33%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
4.91
6+ Goals
8%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
24%
4.03
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.8
X/1
16%
5.43
X/2
14%
5.53
X/X
12%
3.7
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
14%
4.16
2/X
6%
13.85
Value flag · 1/1 at 4.03 — our 24% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
36%
+8.9pp
23%
Draw
30%
-7.8pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.1pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bolivya EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Uruguay EU Bookmakers 37%
+13% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.55/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.28
+77% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
244 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 80%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
19.5 Crosses 15.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bolivya
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Uruguay
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.60 xG 2.80
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
310 Passes 424
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 37
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 0
28.06.2024 Uruguay Uruguay 5-0 HT 2-0 Bolivya Bolivya AKU
22.11.2023 Uruguay Uruguay 3-0 HT 2-0 Bolivya Bolivya Güney Amerika - DK Elemeler
16.11.2021 Bolivya Bolivya 3-0 HT 2-0 Uruguay Uruguay DKE
06.09.2021 Uruguay Uruguay 4-2 HT 2-0 Bolivya Bolivya DKE
25.06.2021 Bolivya Bolivya 0-2 HT 0-1 Uruguay Uruguay AKU
11.10.2017 Uruguay Uruguay 4-2 HT 2-1 Bolivya Bolivya DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bolivya
0-0
AWAY Uruguay
1.99 xG 0.46
66% Ball Possession 34%
32 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 0
16 Corners 3
357 Passes 148
86% Pass Accuracy 69%
26 Box Touches 17
28 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bolivya vs Uruguay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolivya and Uruguay fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Bolivya at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Bolivya had 66% of the ball to Uruguay's 34%, shots finished 32-11, expected goals 1.99 to 0.46.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Uruguay led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bolivya and 3.00 for Uruguay.

What was the final score of Bolivya vs Uruguay?

Bolivya 0-0 Uruguay in the World Cup Qualifiers on 25/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bolivya vs Uruguay?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bolivya win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bolivya 45%, draw 23%, Uruguay 32%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bolivya) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bolivya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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