Botsvana 2-0 Somali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 25 Mar 2025

📅25/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.32
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.71
Over 2.5
39%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.67
No
63%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.66
2-3 Goals
37%
1.71
4-5 Goals
17%
3.93
6+ Goals
10%
18.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.66 — our 36% vs market 30.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
31%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
71%
-13.6pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.1pp
17%
Away Win
9%
+7.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
55%
+6.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
45%
-6.2pp
37%
BTTS Yes
33%
+4.0pp
63%
BTTS No
67%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botsvana EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Somali EU Bookmakers 12%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +47%
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
436 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botsvana
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Somali
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
67% Ball Possession 33%
10.06.2024 Somali Somali 1-3 HT 0-1 Botsvana Botsvana DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botsvana
2-0
AWAY Somali
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
1 Passes 0
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Botsvana vs Somali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botsvana saw off Somali 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Botsvana as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Botsvana had 54% of the ball to Somali's 46%, shots finished 19-7.

What was the final score of Botsvana vs Somali?

Botsvana 2-0 Somali in the World Cup Qualifiers on 25/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botsvana vs Somali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botsvana win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Botsvana 58%, draw 26%, Somali 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botsvana), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Botsvana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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