Filistin 2-1 Irak — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 25 Mar 2025

📅25/03/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.69
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.08
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
5.36
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
24%
+8.6pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.1pp
38%
Away Win
46%
-7.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.4pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Filistin EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Irak EU Bookmakers 49%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.65/2.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/0.34
-20% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
240 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
22.0 Crosses 17.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Filistin
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Irak
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.13 xG 0.25
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 9
222 Passes 413
71% Pass Accuracy 84%
5 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.10.2024 Irak Irak 1-0 HT 1-0 Filistin Filistin DKE
20.01.2015 Irak Irak 2-0 HT 0-0 Filistin Filistin ASK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Filistin
2-1
AWAY Irak
1.73 xG 0.69
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 9
328 Passes 265
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 21
29 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Filistin vs Irak
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Filistin edged past Irak 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 38% — and on the day Filistin made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Filistin had 54% of the ball to Irak's 46%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.73 to 0.69.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Irak led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Filistin and 1.50 for Irak.

What was the final score of Filistin vs Irak?

Filistin 2-1 Irak in the World Cup Qualifiers on 25/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Filistin vs Irak?

Before kick-off our model rated an Irak win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Filistin 33%, draw 29%, Irak 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Irak) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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