Kamerun 3-1 Libya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 25 Mar 2025

📅25/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.37
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.62
Over 2.5
37%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.75
No
64%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.44
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
15%
4.34
6+ Goals
8%
23.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.44 — our 35% vs market 33.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
68%
-14.6pp
29%
Draw
21%
+8.3pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
58%
+4.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
42%
-4.8pp
36%
BTTS Yes
32%
+4.2pp
64%
BTTS No
68%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kamerun EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Libya EU Bookmakers 14%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.46/0.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.28/0.96
+4% / +133% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +131%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
386 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.8
Crosses 5.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kamerun
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Libya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
10 Total Shots 8
0 Corners 1
21.11.2023 Libya Libya 1-1 HT 1-1 Kamerun Kamerun DKE
08.09.2013 Kamerun Kamerun 1-0 HT 1-0 Libya Libya DKE
10.06.2012 Libya Libya 2-1 HT 1-1 Kamerun Kamerun DKE
19.06.2005 Kamerun Kamerun 1-0 HT 1-0 Libya Libya DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kamerun
3-1
AWAY Libya
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 6
2 Passes 1
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kamerun vs Libya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kamerun saw off Libya 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kamerun as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kamerun had 59% of the ball to Libya's 41%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kamerun had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kamerun and 0.75 for Libya.

What was the final score of Kamerun vs Libya?

Kamerun 3-1 Libya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 25/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kamerun vs Libya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kamerun win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Kamerun 54%, draw 29%, Libya 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kamerun) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kamerun) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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