Karadağ 1-0 Faroe Adaları — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 25 Mar 2025

📅25/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.49
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.19
No
49%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.78
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.91
6+ Goals
11%
18.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1.81
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.55
X/1
19%
3.75
X/2
10%
13.6
X/X
18%
5.0
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
7%
12.7
2/X
4%
20.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
63%
-13.7pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.9pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+7.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.9pp
49%
BTTS No
58%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karadağ EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Faroe Adaları EU Bookmakers 17%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.28/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/3.75
-20% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +111% / -42%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
32.3 Crosses 9.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karadağ
1-0
AWAY Faroe Adaları
1.67 xG 0.28
66% Ball Possession 34%
20 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
446 Passes 194
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
27 Box Touches 5
39 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Karadağ vs Faroe Adaları
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karadağ squeezed past Faroe Adaları 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Karadağ as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Karadağ had 66% of the ball to Faroe Adaları's 34%, shots finished 20-4, expected goals 1.67 to 0.28 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Karadağ's control.

What was the final score of Karadağ vs Faroe Adaları?

Karadağ 1-0 Faroe Adaları in the World Cup Qualifiers on 25/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karadağ vs Faroe Adaları?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karadağ win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Karadağ 49%, draw 29%, Faroe Adaları 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karadağ), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Karadağ) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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