Kuzey Makedonya 1-1 Galler — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 25 Mar 2025

📅25/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
31%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.4
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.62
6+ Goals
7%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.79
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
8%
13.75
X/1
12%
6.21
X/2
11%
5.05
X/X
21%
3.78
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
14%
3.48
2/X
5%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
31%
+4.9pp
33%
Draw
31%
+2.7pp
31%
Away Win
39%
-7.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kuzey Makedonya EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Galler EU Bookmakers 43%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +44% / +44%
0.35/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.44
-69% / +119% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +145%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
262 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 81%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.0 Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kuzey Makedonya
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Galler
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
06.09.2013 Kuzey Makedonya Kuzey Makedonya 2-1 HT 1-1 Galler Galler DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kuzey Makedonya
1-1
AWAY Galler
0.96 xG 0.85
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
164 Passes 468
67% Pass Accuracy 87%
10 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kuzey Makedonya vs Galler
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kuzey Makedonya and Galler couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 33% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Kuzey Makedonya had 32% of the ball to Galler's 68%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.96 to 0.85.

What was the final score of Kuzey Makedonya vs Galler?

Kuzey Makedonya 1-1 Galler in the World Cup Qualifiers on 25/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kuzey Makedonya vs Galler?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kuzey Makedonya win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Kuzey Makedonya 36%, draw 33%, Galler 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kuzey Makedonya), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kuzey Makedonya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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