Uganda vs Gine Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Uganda v Gine — Team-Based Signals
Uganda vs Gine Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Uganda
DKE
2-0
HT 1-0
Uganda
AFUK
2-0
HT 2-0
Gine
AFUK
Uganda 1-0 Gine — Actual Match Statistics
Uganda nicked a narrow win over Gine 1-0.
Our pre-match split (38% / 35% / 27%) promised a tight game; Uganda found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (66%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Uganda had 39% of the ball to Gine's 61%, shots finished 8-6.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gine led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Uganda and 1.33 for Gine.
What was the final score of Uganda vs Gine?
Uganda 1-0 Gine in the World Cup Qualifiers on 25/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Uganda vs Gine?
Before kick-off our model rated a Uganda win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Uganda 38%, draw 35%, Gine 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uganda), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.