FC Schaffhausen 1-1 Aarau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.13
Draw
31%
3.8
Away
49%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
2.15
Over
46%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.93
2-3
41%
1.83
4-5
23%
2.95
6+
9%
9.11
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.93 — our 27% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
34%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
21%
-0.5pp
31%
Draw
23%
+7.8pp
49%
Away Win
56%
-7.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
43%
+11.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
57%
-11.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.5pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Schaffhausen EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Aarau EU Bookmakers 61%
-8% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +11%
0.95/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.79
-11% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +28%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
329 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 81%
15.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.2
13.4 Crosses 19.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Schaffhausen
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Aarau
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.20 xG 1.75
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
234 Passes 402
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2025 Aarau Aarau 3-0 HT 2-0 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
18.10.2024 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 0-3 HT 0-3 Aarau Aarau İSV2
23.09.2024 Aarau Aarau 1-2 HT 1-1 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
06.04.2024 Aarau Aarau 1-2 HT 1-1 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
08.03.2024 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 1-1 HT 1-1 Aarau Aarau İSV2
27.10.2023 Aarau Aarau 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Schaffhausen
1-1
AWAY Aarau
0.74 xG 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
325 Passes 348
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
29 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH FC Schaffhausen vs Aarau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Schaffhausen and Aarau shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Aarau at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, FC Schaffhausen had 50% of the ball to Aarau's 50%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 0.74 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Schaffhausen and 1.67 for Aarau.

What was the final score of FC Schaffhausen vs Aarau?

FC Schaffhausen 1-1 Aarau in the Switzerland Challenge League on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Schaffhausen vs Aarau?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aarau win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split FC Schaffhausen 20%, draw 31%, Aarau 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aarau), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aarau) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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