Neuchatel Xamax vs Thun Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Neuchatel Xamax v Thun — Team-Based Signals
Neuchatel Xamax vs Thun Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Neuchatel Xamax
İSV2
Neuchatel Xamax 0-2 Thun — Actual Match Statistics
Thun saw off Neuchatel Xamax 2-0 away from home.
As we said in the preview, our model had Thun as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Neuchatel Xamax had 62% of the ball to Thun's 38%, shots finished 10-19, expected goals 0.76 to 2.16.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Thun led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Neuchatel Xamax and 1.83 for Thun.
What was the final score of Neuchatel Xamax vs Thun?
Neuchatel Xamax 0-2 Thun in the Switzerland Challenge League on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Neuchatel Xamax vs Thun?
Before kick-off our model rated an Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Neuchatel Xamax 33%, draw 26%, Thun 41%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thun) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.