Carrarese 1-0 Sampdoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.6
Over 2.5
48%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.47
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.4
6+ Goals
10%
23.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.0pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.1pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.8pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrarese EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampdoria EU Bookmakers 38%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +11%
1.40/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.51
+17% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
18.3 Crosses 17.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carrarese
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sampdoria
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.27 xG 2.54
29% Ball Possession 71%
5 Total Shots 30
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
134 Passes 476
59% Pass Accuracy 88%
7 Box Touches 41
8 Crosses 33
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.12.2024 Sampdoria Sampdoria 1-1 HT 0-1 Carrarese Carrarese İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carrarese
1-0
AWAY Sampdoria
0.85 xG 0.73
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
259 Passes 283
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Carrarese vs Sampdoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carrarese squeezed past Sampdoria 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Carrarese made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Carrarese had 48% of the ball to Sampdoria's 52%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 0.85 to 0.73.

What was the final score of Carrarese vs Sampdoria?

Carrarese 1-0 Sampdoria in the Italy - Serie B on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrarese vs Sampdoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carrarese win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Carrarese 37%, draw 30%, Sampdoria 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carrarese), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Carrarese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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