Salernitana 3-1 Cosenza Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.91
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.85
6+ Goals
11%
17.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.28
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.5
X/1
20%
4.22
X/2
11%
9.59
X/X
12%
4.68
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
7%
8.03
2/X
6%
16.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-1.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salernitana EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cosenza Calcio EU Bookmakers 23%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.22/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.37
-34% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
333 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
20.3 Crosses 18.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salernitana
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.06 xG 1.05
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
286 Passes 324
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 1-1 HT 1-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
13.03.2021 Salernitana Salernitana 0-0 HT 0-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
29.11.2020 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 0-1 HT 0-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
25.01.2020 Salernitana Salernitana 2-1 HT 2-1 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
31.08.2019 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 0-1 HT 0-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
05.05.2019 Salernitana Salernitana 1-2 HT 0-1 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salernitana
3-1
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
2.39 xG 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 11
263 Passes 251
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Salernitana vs Cosenza Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salernitana got the better of Cosenza Calcio 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Salernitana as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Salernitana had 50% of the ball to Cosenza Calcio's 50%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 2.39 to 1.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salernitana had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Salernitana and 0.67 for Cosenza Calcio.

What was the final score of Salernitana vs Cosenza Calcio?

Salernitana 3-1 Cosenza Calcio in the Italy - Serie B on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salernitana vs Cosenza Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salernitana win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Salernitana 52%, draw 25%, Cosenza Calcio 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salernitana) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Salernitana) ✗ BTTS No
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