Cremonese 4-2 Mantova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 25 Apr 2025

Cremonese
4-2 HT 1-1
Mantova
📅25/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Cremonese vs Mantova Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.36
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
28%
2.87
6+ Goals
10%
8.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.93
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
15.15
X/1
17%
4.22
X/2
10%
11.5
X/X
11%
6.34
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.7
2/2
8%
8.8
2/X
4%
17.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.7 — our 10% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-8.6pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.3pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.6pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cremonese v Mantova — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cremonese EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Mantova EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.80/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.43
-9% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -29%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
310 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 80%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
26.3 Crosses 19.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6

Cremonese vs Mantova Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cremonese
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Mantova
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.19 xG 0.82
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
223 Passes 327
76% Pass Accuracy 88%
30 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 15
6 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.11.2024 Mantova Mantova 1-0 HT 0-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
27.09.2015 Cremonese Cremonese 3-3 HT 2-0 Mantova Mantova İTC
11.03.2006 Mantova Mantova 0-0 HT 0-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
22.10.2005 Cremonese Cremonese 1-2 HT 0-0 Mantova Mantova İTB

Cremonese 4-2 Mantova — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cremonese
4-2
AWAY Mantova
2.96 xG 1.15
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
337 Passes 395
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
25 Box Touches 21
27 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cremonese vs Mantova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cremonese saw off Mantova 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cremonese as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Cremonese had 47% of the ball to Mantova's 53%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 2.96 to 1.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Mantova led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cremonese and 1.50 for Mantova.

What was the final score of Cremonese vs Mantova?

Cremonese 4-2 Mantova in the Italy - Serie B on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cremonese vs Mantova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cremonese win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Cremonese 52%, draw 22%, Mantova 25%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cremonese), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cremonese) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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