FC Bari 1908 1-2 Modena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.71
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
4.14
6+ Goals
9%
20.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
3.38
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
10%
12.8
X/1
10%
5.22
X/2
10%
6.58
X/X
12%
4.04
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
14%
4.87
2/X
6%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.0pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.2pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.8pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Bari 1908 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Modena EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
1.28/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.32
-10% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
293 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 77%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
22.2 Crosses 15.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Bari 1908
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Modena
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.92 xG 1.75
52% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
323 Passes 317
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 25
21 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 4
23.08.2024 Modena Modena 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
01.04.2024 Modena Modena 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
21.10.2023 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-1 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTB
06.05.2023 Modena Modena 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
11.12.2022 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 4-1 HT 2-0 Modena Modena İTB
07.05.2022 Modena Modena 3-3 HT 1-3 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Bari 1908
1-2
AWAY Modena
1.86 xG 2.57
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
367 Passes 318
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
29 Box Touches 17
32 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Bari 1908 vs Modena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Modena squeezed past FC Bari 1908 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was FC Bari 1908 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Bari 1908 had 53% of the ball to Modena's 47%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 1.86 to 2.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FC Bari 1908 and 1.50 for Modena.

What was the final score of FC Bari 1908 vs Modena?

FC Bari 1908 1-2 Modena in the Italy - Serie B on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Bari 1908 vs Modena?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Bari 1908 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FC Bari 1908 42%, draw 28%, Modena 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Bari 1908) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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