Brescia 1-2 Pisa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 25 Apr 2025

Brescia
1-2 HT 0-1
Pisa
📅25/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
45%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.69
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
4.17
6+ Goals
9%
20.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
5.2
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
7%
14.2
X/1
14%
6.74
X/2
13%
4.87
X/X
9%
4.21
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
26%
3.15
2/X
11%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-0.7pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
45%
Away Win
43%
+2.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brescia EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Pisa EU Bookmakers 46%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.35/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.80
+30% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +143%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
20.3 Crosses 20.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brescia
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Pisa
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.37 xG 1.63
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
278 Passes 337
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Pisa Pisa 2-1 HT 1-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
06.04.2024 Brescia Brescia 3-1 HT 1-0 Pisa Pisa İTB
25.11.2023 Pisa Pisa 1-1 HT 1-1 Brescia Brescia İTB
13.05.2023 Brescia Brescia 1-1 HT 0-0 Pisa Pisa İTB
17.12.2022 Pisa Pisa 3-0 HT 2-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
06.08.2022 Pisa Pisa 1-4 HT 1-1 Brescia Brescia İTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brescia
1-2
AWAY Pisa
0.34 xG 0.77
63% Ball Possession 37%
7 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 4
417 Passes 217
78% Pass Accuracy 66%
13 Box Touches 10
38 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Brescia vs Pisa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pisa squeezed past Brescia 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Pisa as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brescia had 63% of the ball to Pisa's 37%, shots finished 7-6, expected goals 0.34 to 0.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Brescia and 1.50 for Pisa.

What was the final score of Brescia vs Pisa?

Brescia 1-2 Pisa in the Italy - Serie B on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brescia vs Pisa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pisa win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Brescia 28%, draw 26%, Pisa 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pisa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pisa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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