Sampdoria 1-1 Carrarese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 26 Dec 2024

📅26/12/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.46
2-3 Goals
45%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.5
6+ Goals
9%
24.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.16
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.15
X/1
9%
4.75
X/2
15%
6.92
X/X
8%
3.76
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
11%
5.43
2/X
10%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.5pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.8pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.5pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sampdoria EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrarese EU Bookmakers 31%
-11% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.38/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.67
+6% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
16.3 Crosses 20.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sampdoria
1-1
AWAY Carrarese
2.54 xG 0.27
71% Ball Possession 29%
30 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
476 Passes 134
88% Pass Accuracy 59%
41 Box Touches 7
33 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sampdoria vs Carrarese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sampdoria and Carrarese shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sampdoria at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Sampdoria had 71% of the ball to Carrarese's 29%, shots finished 30-5, expected goals 2.54 to 0.27.

What was the final score of Sampdoria vs Carrarese?

Sampdoria 1-1 Carrarese in the Italy - Serie B on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sampdoria vs Carrarese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sampdoria win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sampdoria 42%, draw 28%, Carrarese 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sampdoria), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sampdoria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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