Cesena 0-2 Sassuolo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 25 Apr 2025

Cesena
0-2 HT 0-1
Sassuolo
📅25/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Cesena vs Sassuolo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.9
Over
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
29%
3.36
2-3
39%
1.8
4-5
22%
3.4
6+
10%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.36 — our 29% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.3
1/2
11%
26.5
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
10%
6.34
X/2
14%
5.43
X/X
14%
4.73
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
15%
3.39
2/X
7%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
39%
Away Win
39%
-0.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.3pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cesena v Sassuolo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cesena EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassuolo EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +6%
1.20/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.10
+39% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -31%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 81%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
22.4 Crosses 15.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Cesena vs Sassuolo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cesena
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sassuolo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.72 xG 1.95
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 7
366 Passes 330
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.08.2024 Sassuolo Sassuolo 2-1 HT 1-0 Cesena Cesena İTB
18.01.2017 Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-2 HT 1-0 Cesena Cesena İTK
10.05.2015 Cesena Cesena 2-3 HT 2-0 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
20.12.2014 Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-1 HT 0-0 Cesena Cesena İTA
30.12.2012 Sassuolo Sassuolo 5-0 HT 1-0 Cesena Cesena İTB
27.08.2012 Cesena Cesena 0-3 HT 0-1 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTB

Cesena 0-2 Sassuolo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cesena
0-2
AWAY Sassuolo
0.78 xG 1.96
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 3
398 Passes 488
88% Pass Accuracy 89%
16 Box Touches 21
27 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Cesena vs Sassuolo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassuolo got the better of Cesena 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Sassuolo found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Cesena had 46% of the ball to Sassuolo's 54%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 0.78 to 1.96.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sassuolo led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cesena and 2.50 for Sassuolo.

What was the final score of Cesena vs Sassuolo?

Cesena 0-2 Sassuolo in the Italy - Serie B on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cesena vs Sassuolo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sassuolo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cesena 33%, draw 28%, Sassuolo 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassuolo), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sassuolo) ✓ Under 2.5
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