Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock Prediction — Model Probabilities
Aberdeen v Kilmarnock — Team-Based Signals
Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Aberdeen 1-0 Kilmarnock — Actual Match Statistics
Aberdeen nicked a narrow win over Kilmarnock 1-0.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Aberdeen as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 50% for over 2.5, 54% on both teams scoring.
On the day, Kilmarnock saw more of the ball, 58% to 42%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.50 to 0.67.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aberdeen had the better of it with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Aberdeen against 1.33 for Kilmarnock.
Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock Result & Final Score
Aberdeen 1 - 0 Kilmarnock in the Scotland - Premiership on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Aberdeen win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Aberdeen 51%, draw 27%, Kilmarnock 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aberdeen) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.