Kilmarnock 3-0 Aberdeen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 31 Jan 2026

📅31/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.44
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
3.36
6+ Goals
11%
12.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 31% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.44
1/2
7%
26.0
1/X
9%
12.95
X/1
10%
6.54
X/2
11%
5.38
X/X
10%
4.74
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
20%
3.28
2/X
7%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.7pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kilmarnock EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 45%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.57/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.16
-7% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +45%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
198 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 72%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
23.9 Crosses 18.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kilmarnock
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Aberdeen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.45 xG 1.46
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
223 Passes 333
69% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 24
26 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.12.2025 Aberdeen Aberdeen 2-1 HT 0-1 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
29.10.2025 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 0-1 HT 0-1 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
22.02.2025 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-0 HT 0-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
26.12.2024 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 4-0 HT 1-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
25.08.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 2-0 HT 1-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
09.03.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 3-1 HT 2-1 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kilmarnock
3-0
AWAY Aberdeen
2.45 xG 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
376 Passes 313
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
37 Box Touches 19
27 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kilmarnock swept aside Aberdeen 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Kilmarnock found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Kilmarnock had 55% of the ball to Aberdeen's 45%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 2.45 to 1.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aberdeen led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kilmarnock and 1.50 for Aberdeen.

What was the final score of Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen?

Kilmarnock 3-0 Aberdeen in the Scotland - Premiership on 31/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aberdeen win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Kilmarnock 36%, draw 26%, Aberdeen 38%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aberdeen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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