Fulham 1-0 Aston Villa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.67
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.1
6+ Goals
12%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.43
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
7%
12.55
X/1
12%
5.55
X/2
15%
6.0
X/X
11%
4.96
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
25.0
2/2
15%
3.87
2/X
7%
12.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.0 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.0pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fulham EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Aston Villa EU Bookmakers 38%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +10%
1.45/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.44
+11% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +40%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
342 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 84%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
20.9 Crosses 14.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fulham
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Aston Villa
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.13 xG 1.65
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
401 Passes 371
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2025 Aston Villa Aston Villa 3-1 HT 1-1 Fulham Fulham İNP
03.05.2025 Aston Villa Aston Villa 1-0 HT 1-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
19.10.2024 Fulham Fulham 1-3 HT 1-1 Aston Villa Aston Villa İNP
17.02.2024 Fulham Fulham 1-2 HT 0-1 Aston Villa Aston Villa İNP
12.11.2023 Aston Villa Aston Villa 3-1 HT 2-0 Fulham Fulham İNP
27.07.2023 Fulham Fulham 0-2 HT 0-1 Aston Villa Aston Villa HAZPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fulham
1-0
AWAY Aston Villa
1.18 xG 0.93
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
276 Passes 456
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fulham vs Aston Villa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fulham nicked a narrow win over Aston Villa 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Fulham made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fulham had 39% of the ball to Aston Villa's 61%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.18 to 0.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aston Villa led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Fulham and 2.33 for Aston Villa.

What was the final score of Fulham vs Aston Villa?

Fulham 1-0 Aston Villa in the England - Premier League on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fulham vs Aston Villa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fulham win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fulham 39%, draw 25%, Aston Villa 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fulham) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fulham) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
25 Apr 2026
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