Liverpool 3-1 Crystal Palace — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
19%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.43
Over 2.5
56%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.86
2-3 Goals
39%
1.92
4-5 Goals
26%
2.65
6+ Goals
11%
6.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.97
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.1
X/1
25%
4.33
X/2
5%
10.45
X/X
9%
6.42
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
19.4
2/2
9%
7.56
2/X
7%
15.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.4 — our 9% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
59%
+0.5pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.0pp
19%
Away Win
20%
-0.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.7pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Crystal Palace EU Bookmakers 23%
+2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +19%
2.12/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.51
+10% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +27%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
456 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
36.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
21.7 Crosses 14.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Crystal Palace
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.68 xG 1.83
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 2
542 Passes 238
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
30 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.10.2025 Liverpool Liverpool 0-3 HT 0-2 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNLK
27.09.2025 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 2-1 HT 1-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
10.08.2025 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 2-2 HT 1-2 Liverpool Liverpool İCS
25.05.2025 Liverpool Liverpool 1-1 HT 0-1 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
05.10.2024 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0-1 HT 0-1 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
14.04.2024 Liverpool Liverpool 0-1 HT 0-1 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool
3-1
AWAY Crystal Palace
1.14 xG 2.26
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 8
378 Passes 326
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
32 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Liverpool vs Crystal Palace
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool beat Crystal Palace 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Liverpool as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Liverpool had 53% of the ball to Crystal Palace's 47%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.14 to 2.26 — on chances, Crystal Palace could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crystal Palace led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Liverpool and 1.50 for Crystal Palace.

What was the final score of Liverpool vs Crystal Palace?

Liverpool 3-1 Crystal Palace in the England - Premier League on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool vs Crystal Palace?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Liverpool 59%, draw 22%, Crystal Palace 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Liverpool) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
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