Genk 1-1 Standard Liege — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.57
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.73
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.06
6+ Goals
9%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.97
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.9
X/1
19%
4.08
X/2
8%
10.65
X/X
8%
5.72
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.4
2/2
5%
8.46
2/X
6%
16.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.4 — our 10% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
60%
-0.3pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.6pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+1.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genk EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Standard Liege EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +18%
2.09/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.59
-10% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +0%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
401 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 73%
29.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
22.3 Crosses 14.6
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genk
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Standard Liege
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.59 xG 0.99
68% Ball Possession 32%
18 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
509 Passes 202
85% Pass Accuracy 69%
28 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2026 Genk Genk 0-3 HT 0-2 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
10.08.2025 Standard Liege Standard Liege 2-1 HT 1-0 Genk Genk BEL
14.02.2025 Standard Liege Standard Liege 1-2 HT 0-1 Genk Genk BEL
04.12.2024 Genk Genk 2-1 HT 0-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEK
28.07.2024 Genk Genk 0-0 HT 0-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
10.03.2024 Genk Genk 1-0 HT 0-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Genk
1-1
AWAY Standard Liege
2.25 xG 0.80
61% Ball Possession 39%
24 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 2
446 Passes 253
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
43 Box Touches 11
36 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Genk vs Standard Liege
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genk and Standard Liege shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Genk at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Genk had 61% of the ball to Standard Liege's 39%, shots finished 24-9, expected goals 2.25 to 0.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genk had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Genk and 1.17 for Standard Liege.

What was the final score of Genk vs Standard Liege?

Genk 1-1 Standard Liege in the Belgium - Pro League on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genk vs Standard Liege?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genk win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Genk 59%, draw 21%, Standard Liege 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Genk), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Genk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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