OH Leuven 0-2 Sporting Charleroi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.68
No
41%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.23
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.39
6+ Goals
10%
13.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.8
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
11%
5.79
X/2
12%
5.69
X/X
14%
4.54
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
28.0
2/2
17%
3.69
2/X
7%
12.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 10% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.1pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.36/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.37
+4% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
18.2 Crosses 20.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OH Leuven
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.13 xG 1.71
42% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
266 Passes 382
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.03.2026 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 0-2 HT 0-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
27.07.2025 OH Leuven OH Leuven 2-2 HT 1-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
24.05.2025 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 2-1 HT 1-1 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
28.03.2025 OH Leuven OH Leuven 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
14.12.2024 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
26.10.2024 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 0-2 HT 0-2 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OH Leuven
0-2
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
0.30 xG 1.59
57% Ball Possession 43%
4 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
450 Passes 320
88% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH OH Leuven vs Sporting Charleroi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Charleroi saw off OH Leuven 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Sporting Charleroi made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, OH Leuven had 57% of the ball to Sporting Charleroi's 43%, shots finished 4-11, expected goals 0.30 to 1.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, OH Leuven had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for OH Leuven and 0.67 for Sporting Charleroi.

What was the final score of OH Leuven vs Sporting Charleroi?

OH Leuven 0-2 Sporting Charleroi in the Belgium - Pro League on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OH Leuven vs Sporting Charleroi?

Before kick-off our model rated a OH Leuven win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split OH Leuven 38%, draw 26%, Sporting Charleroi 36%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (OH Leuven) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL More Belgium - Pro League
25 Apr 2026
19:15 Genk vs Standard Liege Analysis →
21:45 Westerlo vs Royal Antwerp Analysis →