Rostov 0-1 FK Orenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 25 Apr 2026

Rostov
0 - 1 HT 0 - 0
FK Orenburg
📅25/04/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.79
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
22%
3.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.77
Over
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.94
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.72
2-3
48%
1.73
4-5
19%
3.98
6+
4%
18.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.45
1/2
1%
34.0
1/X
5%
14.5
X/1
19%
4.16
X/2
9%
8.17
X/X
17%
4.5
2/1
3%
25.5
2/2
11%
6.82
2/X
5%
15.8
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Rostov The Market 56%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Orenburg The Market 26%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.50 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.86
1.00 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.54
Weak Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Average
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
339 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
30 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22
21 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rostov
6W-0D-0L
AWAY FK Orenburg
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.12 xG 1.22
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
302 Passes 246
71% Pass Accuracy 70%
41 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
05.10.2025 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 0-1 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
08.03.2025 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 1-2 HT 1-1 Rostov Rostov RUS
18.09.2024 Rostov Rostov 3-1 HT 1-1 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUK
28.08.2024 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 0-1 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUK
17.08.2024 Rostov Rostov 3-2 HT 0-2 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUS
29.04.2024 Rostov Rostov 2-1 HT 0-1 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rostov
0 - 1
AWAY FK Orenburg
1.10 xG 1.38
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
213 Passes 195
62% Pass Accuracy 60%
19 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Rostov vs FK Orenburg
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

FK Orenburg came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Rostov 1-0 on the road. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

Our pre-match lean was Rostov at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, Rostov had 52% of the ball to FK Orenburg's 48%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.10 to 1.38.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rostov had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Rostov and 0.83 for FK Orenburg.

Rostov vs FK Orenburg Result & Final Score

Rostov 0 - 1 FK Orenburg in the Russia - Premier League on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Rostov vs FK Orenburg Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Rostov win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Rostov 52%, draw 26%, FK Orenburg 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Rostov) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rostov) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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