Colorado Rapids 1-0 St. Louis City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-5.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.5pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colorado Rapids EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Louis City EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +5%
1.49/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.50
-21% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +28%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
401 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
20.4 Crosses 15.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colorado Rapids
2W-2D-1L
AWAY St. Louis City
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.91 xG 1.68
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
355 Passes 305
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2025 St. Louis City St. Louis City 0-0 HT 0-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
08.07.2024 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 4-1 HT 2-1 St. Louis City St. Louis City ABD
20.06.2024 St. Louis City St. Louis City 0-3 HT 0-1 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
02.07.2023 St. Louis City St. Louis City 2-0 HT 2-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
23.04.2023 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 1-1 HT 0-0 St. Louis City St. Louis City ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colorado Rapids
1-0
AWAY St. Louis City
0.79 xG 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
382 Passes 446
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Colorado Rapids vs St. Louis City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colorado Rapids edged past St. Louis City 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Colorado Rapids as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Colorado Rapids had 47% of the ball to St. Louis City's 53%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.79 to 1.33 — on chances, St. Louis City could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Colorado Rapids had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Colorado Rapids and 0.80 for St. Louis City.

What was the final score of Colorado Rapids vs St. Louis City?

Colorado Rapids 1-0 St. Louis City in the USA - Major League on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colorado Rapids vs St. Louis City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colorado Rapids win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Colorado Rapids 43%, draw 26%, St. Louis City 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colorado Rapids) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Colorado Rapids) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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