Samgurali vs Saburtalo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Samgurali v Saburtalo — Team-Based Signals
Samgurali vs Saburtalo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Samgurali 3-2 Saburtalo — Actual Match Statistics
Samgurali nicked a narrow win over Saburtalo 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
This one beat our numbers. Saburtalo carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Samgurali had 46% of the ball to Saburtalo's 54%, shots finished 16-18.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saburtalo led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Samgurali and 1.33 for Saburtalo.
What was the final score of Samgurali vs Saburtalo?
Samgurali 3-2 Saburtalo in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 25/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Samgurali vs Saburtalo?
Before kick-off our model rated an Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Samgurali 24%, draw 22%, Saburtalo 55%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.